WY-01-02 / 06
Replacing Speculation about Major Operators with Testable Conditions
First Principles
Sam Rivera
Lesson / WY-01-02
For example, “major operators are accumulating at the lows” cannot be verified from a public chart. Shrinking incremental distance on downward swings and active low-price trading that fails to push price lower are facts a chart can establish. They support a hypothesis of buying support at the lows but still do not prove that any particular actor is buying.
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8 lessons · Chapter contents
01Meaning and Purpose of the Composite Operator↗02Strategic Interaction: Participants’ Objectives, Choices, and Constraints↗03Building, Holding, and Reducing Positions: What Is Visible↗04“Major Operators’ Intentions” as a Candidate Explanation↗05Observable Information and Inference↗06Replacing Speculation about Major Operators with Testable Conditions↗07Applying the Model across Markets↗08Updating Composite Operator Scenarios with Evidence↗The course transcript will be available with the finished video. The captions below belong to the interface demo.
Observe the market: start with context and place price within its structure.
Understand structure: compare supply and demand, and let evidence support or revise your hypothesis.
Form a view: define risk limits and know when to reassess.
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