Lesson / WY-06-29
Each rule set needs a unique version, adoption date, applicable markets, data and time zone, parameters, order assumptions, cost model, and risk limits. Retain originals; state each new version's exact changes, supporting sample, expected mechanism, and effective date. Evaluate historical trades under the version used then, not new rules retroactively applied.
Course content is for learning and research only. It is not investment advice.
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13 lessons · Chapter contents
01Price and Time Expectations After Entry↗02Meeting Expectations, Underperforming, and Contrary Evidence↗03Changes in Holdings, Cost, and Risk After Scaling In or Out↗04Structural Exits, Time Exits, and Moving Stops↗05Improvised Plan Changes Versus Evidence-Based Rule Revisions↗06Execution Deviations and Their Technical Consequences↗07Four-Layer Review: Observation, Interpretation, Decision, and Execution↗08Initial Risk Amount R₀ and After-Cost R↗09MAE, MFE, and the Entire Trade's Continuous Net PnL Curve↗10Operational Definitions of Trading Rules↗11Samples, Future Information, Out-of-Sample Testing, and Costs↗12Win Rate, Profit/Loss Distribution, Expectancy, and Drawdown↗13Rule Changes and Version Control↗Observe the market: start with context and place price within its structure.
Understand structure: compare supply and demand, and let evidence support or revise your hypothesis.
Form a view: define risk limits and know when to reassess.
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Relative Strength and Opportunity Screening
Point-and-Figure Charts and Price Target Estimation
